Saturday, August 1, 2015

Confidence in Decision Making

Introduction

This week’s MSLD632 blog concerns the role emotions have in decision making, specifically the emotion of confidence. Two situations are presented where a decision was made, one made with extreme confidence and one with a significant measure of doubt. The idea of confidence’s importance in decision making is smartly and firmly crafted by Stanford Professor Baba Shiv, in the short video The Brain Research at Stanford: Decision Making and provides the central support for assertions made in this blog.

Decision to Not Take a Vendors Advice

If you have been following my blogs, then you know that we use a vendor to create a fault isolation tool that is interactive and that we import fault isolation procedures written in accordance with S1000D (industry wide authoring specification). Before we began writing using the S1000D specification we collaborated with the vendor supplying the interactive tool to devise a very specific structure and choosing which elements and attributes of S1000D to use to best match the design our vendor already had in-place with their interactive tool. The design they originally proposed would mean authoring to a micro-level we had never seen before and we believed not to be necessary and overkill. Adopting their method would mean significant amount of work on our end, so being a ‘good partner’ they succumbed to our insistence that what they were proposing was just too much work.
The problem was that we really did not understand how inflexible their tool was and because of the lack of understanding of their tool, there was some level of doubt as to whether or not the compromise would work. Besides, their track record on capitulating was not favorable and was likely also a contributing source of doubt. To compound the problem, the import tool the vendor was creating to parse the S1000D data into their interactive database would not be ready for several months so meaningful feedback would have to wait.
The doubt that existed affected my team and most of all the most valued member. He persistently played the role of the “high maintenance client” as described by Shiv (2011). In this role he constantly challenged the direction the fault isolation effort was headed. After watching Shiv (2011) the reason is quite apparent. The lack of confidence of the decision killed any passion to be had in carrying out the tasks of writing the procedures in S1000D and also keep the team from remaining focused on the task at hand.

Decision to Take the Vendors Advice - A New Attitude is Born

Once the import tool was ready to begin accepting our S1000D fault isolation procedures, it became quickly apparent that the order of the steps were out of sequence. They provided a demonstration of the import process and suddenly it began to click that there was a purpose to their original recommendation of authoring our steps to micro-levels that we were not accustomed to, that we thought were overkill. We provided the same S1000D fault isolation procedures to them, with steps broken down an additional level. What do you think happened? Amazing how smoothly the import went.
Having seen the light and having a good understanding of their system allowed me to show confidence in the decision that will create about 30% more work on our end. This realization has come in just the past few weeks, so it will be important to continue to show confidence to maintain the passion and the confidence contagion that Shiv (2011) asserts is critical in successful implementation and the “utility of confidence” synergies that is created by showing confidence.

Summary

Shiv (2011) provided some very good guidance for a relevant decision that I recently made for my team and organization. The virtues of confidence in decision making, where solid decision making techniques were used, cannot be overstated. The next decision you make, make sure to make it with confidence. If confidence is not part of the equation, then consider rethinking, delaying or cancelling the decision. You just might save yourself some trouble.

Reference:

Shiv, B. (2011). Brain research at Stanford: Decision making [Video file]. Retrieved from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WRKfl4owWKc.